Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#77
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#41
Pace59.8#345
Improvement-0.6#207

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#101
First Shot+3.6#76
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#241
Layup/Dunks+1.2#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement+2.7#54

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#64
First Shot+3.1#80
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#61
Layups/Dunks+3.1#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#235
Freethrows-0.5#202
Improvement-3.4#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round22.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 21, 2015 53   @ San Diego St. W 49-43 30%     1 - 0 +18.7 -3.4 +23.2
  Nov 26, 2015 185   East Carolina W 54-46 79%     2 - 0 +6.5 -8.2 +16.5
  Nov 28, 2015 64   @ Tulsa W 64-60 34%     3 - 0 +15.3 +6.1 +9.8
  Dec 01, 2015 327   Central Arkansas W 79-73 97%     4 - 0 -9.1 -2.3 -6.7
  Dec 05, 2015 217   @ Idaho W 64-54 77%     5 - 0 +9.5 +2.5 +8.5
  Dec 12, 2015 170   DePaul W 66-44 77%     6 - 0 +21.4 +3.5 +21.6
  Dec 16, 2015 327   @ Central Arkansas W 77-54 93%     7 - 0 +13.7 -2.0 +16.0
  Dec 20, 2015 345   Northern Arizona W 84-57 98%     8 - 0 +9.2 +2.8 +6.3
  Dec 22, 2015 40   @ Texas Tech L 53-65 26%     8 - 1 +1.8 -10.5 +11.4
  Dec 30, 2015 265   @ South Alabama W 69-60 84%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +5.5 +3.4 +2.7
  Jan 02, 2016 285   @ Troy W 67-61 87%     10 - 1 2 - 0 +1.0 +0.9 +0.8
  Jan 07, 2016 126   Louisiana W 77-57 76%     11 - 1 3 - 0 +19.7 +0.0 +19.1
  Jan 09, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe W 58-57 78%     12 - 1 4 - 0 -0.1 -5.0 +5.2
  Jan 14, 2016 260   Appalachian St. W 81-55 93%     13 - 1 5 - 0 +16.9 +5.0 +12.6
  Jan 18, 2016 257   @ Arkansas St. L 73-76 83%     13 - 2 5 - 1 -6.1 -4.0 -1.9
  Jan 21, 2016 219   @ Texas St. W 77-74 OT 77%     14 - 2 6 - 1 +2.4 +3.4 -1.1
  Jan 23, 2016 107   @ Texas Arlington W 68-62 49%     15 - 2 7 - 1 +13.4 -3.9 +16.9
  Jan 28, 2016 216   Georgia Southern W 80-67 89%     16 - 2 8 - 1 +6.7 +8.8 -1.1
  Jan 30, 2016 198   Georgia St. W 63-53 87%     17 - 2 9 - 1 +4.9 -2.6 +8.7
  Feb 04, 2016 285   Troy W 72-49 94%     18 - 2 10 - 1 +12.1 +8.1 +8.3
  Feb 06, 2016 265   South Alabama W 74-43 93%     19 - 2 11 - 1 +21.7 +7.1 +17.4
  Feb 11, 2016 139   @ Louisiana Monroe L 82-86 59%     19 - 3 11 - 2 +0.8 +7.4 -6.4
  Feb 13, 2016 126   @ Louisiana W 68-64 56%     20 - 3 12 - 2 +9.5 +5.0 +5.0
  Feb 18, 2016 198   @ Georgia St. W 57-49 73%     21 - 3 13 - 2 +8.7 -2.4 +12.6
  Feb 20, 2016 216   @ Georgia Southern W 75-61 77%     22 - 3 14 - 2 +13.5 +7.4 +7.3
  Feb 25, 2016 107   Texas Arlington W 72-60 71%     23 - 3 15 - 2 +13.5 +3.2 +10.7
  Feb 27, 2016 219   Texas St. W 73-68 89%     24 - 3 16 - 2 -1.4 +8.6 -9.4
  Mar 01, 2016 257   Arkansas St. W 89-80 92%     25 - 3 17 - 2 +0.1 +16.8 -16.3
  Mar 03, 2016 260   @ Appalachian St. L 63-69 84%     25 - 4 17 - 3 -9.2 -9.1 -0.4
  Mar 12, 2016 126   Louisiana W 72-65 67%     26 - 4 +9.6 +1.7 +8.2
  Mar 13, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe W 70-50 70%     27 - 4 +21.9 +8.0 +16.9
Projected Record 27.0 - 4.0 17.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.3 19.2 60.7 19.4 0.4
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.3 19.2 60.7 19.4 0.4